Use Case 4 „Proactive transformation“
An automotive supplier develops precision products for car and truck engines. He uses just-in-time delivery of parts, with minimum stock levels. Political conflicts and the associated trade barriers, as well as an artificial shortage of required raw materials due to speculation, lead to decreasing capacities in the processing of pig iron and supplier failures. The resulting standstill of the assembly lines results in a production decrease of 30%. After the conflict, it takes three months until normal conditions are restored. SPAICER anticipates the effects of political conflicts on production and provides recommendations for optimized production planning. For this purpose, external data sources (e.g. trend analyses for raw material prices, sentiment analysis for political contributions) are continuously analyzed. Significant disruptions with clear future business effects, such as the loss of suppliers, are predicted (e.g. „impact“ analysis). The decision-maker can question SRS recommendations for action and provide indications of changed analyses, which are taken into account in subsequent analysis steps. Possible options for action are the expansion of the supplier network, order volume optimization, distribution of production to more locations, adjustment of inventories and revision of engine components (across models). This increases the resilience against recurring faults, but also unusual faults of great importance („black swans“).